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NOISE: A Flaw In Human Judgement

Book number: 93665 Product format: Paperback Author: DANIEL KAHNEMAN

In stock

Bibliophile price £5.00
Published price £10.99


An international bestseller described as 'Outstanding' by The Sunday Times. To understand error in judgement, we must understand both bias and noise. Sometimes as we will see through the book, noise is the more important problem. But in public conversations about human error and in organisations all over the world, noise is rarely recognised. Bias is the star of the show with noise usually off stage. A few examples of the alarming amount of noise in situations in which accuracy matters are how different doctors make different judgements about patients' conditions, such as in the reading of x-rays; case managers in child protection agencies accessing children at risk of abuse; professional forecasters offering highly variable predictions about sales, and likelihoods of trouble; asylum decisions and the lottery of whether an asylum seeker is admitted into a country; personnel decisions and interviews, bail decisions; forensic science or decisions to grant patents. This variability is obviously troublesome from the standpoint of equity. The book investigates the difference between noise and bias, the nature of human judgement, accuracy and error, predictive judgement and even AI, human psychology and interpersonal differences; and efforts to tackle noise in medicine, business, education, government and elsewhere. We all make bad judgements more than we think and this is a book that shows what we can do to make better ones. 452pp, paperback.

Additional product information

ISBN 9780008309039

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